"已实现"波动率理论研究与评价

"已实现"波动率是一种全新的金融波动率测量方法。"已实现"波动率在理论上没有测量误差的无偏估计量,在实证建模方面比其他模型更易于估计参数,同时最优频率的选取对于"已实现"波动率的测量精确度是很重要的。     

县域耕地土壤养分时空变异特征研究

土壤养分空间变异研究是精准农业实施的前提,对提高粮食作物单位面积产量和保护农业生态环境具有重要作用。为掌握陕西渭北旱塬区土壤养分时空变异规律,综合空间自相关和重心模型,分析1980—2007年、2007—2017年白水县耕地土壤有机质(SOM)、速效磷(AP)和速效钾(AK)的时空变异特征。结果表明：(1)研究区土壤SOM的平均含量分别增加了1.29、3.22 g·kg^-1,AP的平均含量分别增加了6.89、24.45 mg·kg^-1,仅有AK的平均含量呈现出先减少后增加的趋势。(2)三期耕地土壤养分的变异系数范围为30.2%～90.8%,属于中等变异。1980—2017年,耕地土壤SOM、AP和AK的全局Moran’s I指数均降低,空间结构性减弱,随机因素作用增强。(3)土壤SOM、AP和AK含量均有不同程度的增加,土壤SOM含量总体呈北低南高分布,土壤AP、AK含量分布情况较为一致,呈东高西低。(4)土壤SOM含量重心在东南方向发生偏移,AP、AK含量重心在东北方向发生偏移。土壤养分标准差椭圆空间分布格局同研究区分布方向一致,转角呈现“...     

Using genetic tools to inform conservation of fragmented populations of Asian elephants (Elephas maximus) across their range in China

A herd of 15 Chinese elephants attracted international attention during their 2021 northward trek, motivating the government to propose establishment of an Asian elephant national park. However, planning is hampered by a lack of genetic information on the remaining populations in China. We collected DNA from 497 dung samples from all 5 populations encompassing the entire range of elephants in China and used mitochondrial and microsatellite markers to investigate their genetic and demographic structure. We identified 237 unique genotypes (153 females, 84 males), representing 81% of the known population. However, the effective population size was small (28, range 25–32). Historic demographic contraction appeared to account for low haplotype diversity (H_d = 0.235), but moderate nucleotide and nuclear diversity (π = 0.6%, H_e = 0.55) was attributable to post-bottleneck recovery involving recent population expansion plus historical gene exchange with elephants in Myanmar, Lao PDR, and Vietnam. The 5 populations fell into 3 clusters, with Nangunhe elephants differing consistently from the other 4 populations (F_ST = 0.23); elephants from Mengyang, Simao, and Jiangcheng belonged to a single population (henceforth, MSJ), and differed from the Shangyong population (F_ST = 0.11). Interpopulation genetic variation reflected isolation by distance and female-biased dispersal. Chinese elephants should be managed as 2 distinct units: Nangunhe and another combining Shangyong and MSJ; their long-term viability will require restoring gene flow between Shangyong and MSJ, and between elephants in China and neighboring countries. Our results have the potential to inform conservation planning for an iconic megafaunal species.     

中国沙棘的性状变异与演化趋势

在中国沙棘天然分布区的主轴线上,自西南向东北,选择5个有代表性的地段,用样地调查和统计分析方法.研究了中国沙棘主要性状变异及性状间的组配情况;比较了不同地段的异同;统计了各主要经济性状的变异参数;探索了几个主要性状的演化趋势。认为中国沙棘乃是多态型的种群系统,即存在很大幅度的随机变异,也存在着地理种群间的差异。种群变异的主要特征是各主要性状出现频率随生态——地理条件而递变,但群内变异幅度小,而群间差异显著。     

小麦品种无性系变异改良技术研究

针对晋阳345和晋麦73两个定型品种存在抗寒性较差的缺点,对其幼胚愈伤组织进行了4种处理:1、愈伤组织在MD培养基上继代2～3次;2、愈伤组织在紫外灯下约10cm照射2h;3、愈伤组织在低温2℃和常温25℃下交替培养30d;4、愈伤组织在紫外灯下照射2h后,再在低温2℃和常温25℃下交替培养30d。结果表明,4个处理后代R2主要农艺性状的变异率差异显著,且紫外灯照射幼胚愈伤组织的变异率比低温2℃和常温25℃交替处理幼胚愈伤组织高,其后代各种农艺性状的变异范围较大,变异率较高。但后者有利于改良抗寒性较差的定型小麦品种。     

Saturation and Parameter Variation Influence Precision of Observer

The authors analyze the influence in vector controlled induction machine caused by parameter variation and main flux saturation affects speed estimation of adaptive state observer. According to simulation of the modified scheme with saturated induction motor model, it is proved that when the vector control scheme operates in field weakening region, the main flux saturation will obviously influence precision of speed observer and bring great error of speed estimation. Thereby, the main flux saturation should be compensated to improve performance of the vector control system.     

大豆化学诱变育种及其规律的研究

应用化学诱变剂处理大豆种子,对M_1代植株的生育及形态均有强烈的抑制作用.M_1代所产生的形态变异主要是由于化学物质扰乱了植株生理而产生生理损伤所致.在M_2代植株各性状中以分枝数、株高、单株荚数的遗传变异系数较大,说明这些性状选择的潜力是大的,通过选择容易达到预期目标.诱变M_3代绝大多数性状仍在分离.加强选择,能选出早熟、大粒、农艺性状好、丰产的新品系.     

PWM变量喷雾系统动态雾滴分布均匀性实验

由于PWM变量喷雾作业过程中喷头不连续作业,喷雾的均匀性特别是喷雾机运动方向上的均匀性较难控制,为此通过高速电磁阀、不锈钢压力罐、压力传感器、气泵、调速输送带等构建了一套动态PWM变量喷雾实验平台,并对该平台动态喷雾雾滴分布特性进行实验研究。采用水敏试纸作为获取动态雾滴分布状态手段,通过图像处理技术以区域内雾滴覆盖率的变异系数作为动态雾滴分布均匀性判定指标,评估了在不同PWM控制信号频率、不同PWM控制信号占空比及不同喷雾压力下的单个喷头动态雾滴分布均匀程度。经实验表明,变异系数随控制信号占空比的增大而减小,控制信号频率对动态喷雾雾滴分布均匀性有较大影响,变异系数随控制信号频率增大而减小,喷雾压力对变异系数影响较小,喷雾压力越大变异系数越大。     

The feasibility of using variable rate water application under a central pivot irrigation system

The purpose of this paper was to assess the feasibility and significance of applying spatially variable irrigation under a central pivot system at the Federal German Agricultural Research Center, Braunschweig, Germany. The assessment was based on soil moisture holding capacity, soil depth variation and root development. Soil texture analysis was carried out by sampling on a 60 meter grid. The German Agro-Meteorological Model was applied to simulate the water balance in the crop-soil-atmosphere system for the growing season 2003/4. The research findings are presented in terms of six scenarios: 20, 30, 40 mm water application depths per irrigation under both variable rate application and uniform application. The comparison revealed that the loss of water was higher for the uniform application scenarios than that for the variable rate application (VRA) scenarios for the applications of 20 and 30 mm. The VRA scenario of 20 mm water application was found out to be the best option for water conservation.